Saturday, January 17, 2026

Dilemmas of the Week - GW 22 (25/26)

 A close-up of Rodin's famous statue of a sitting man, resting his chin on his hand, deep in thought

We've had a little break from Premier League action for the past 9 days; but of course, everyone was involved in FA Cup ties last weekend, and 4 clubs also had the first leg of their League Cup Semi-Finals this week. So, there have been some further injuries since the last EPL Gameweek, on top of the heavy crop we suffered in that first batch of 2026 games. Also, the January transfer window is starting to cause a little bit of turmoil - with Manchester City looking set to poach all the players that their rivals most covet, and that the better mid-table sides most rely on.


I am trying to streamline these weekly round-ups a bit from last year, restricting myself for the most part to just the injuries etc. affecting players that are likely to have a major significance in FPL; and also, of course, only to new injuries - I figure everyone should be aware of players who've already been ruled out for some time!  

[For some years, I have found the 'Injuries & Bans' summary on Fantasy Football Scout the most reliable resource for this kind of information; although this site, Premier League Injuries, is a very good alternative (often a little quicker to update, I think - though it did go through a bit of a glitchy period for a while last year).  Go check these out for more comprehensive coverage. 

I see the Fantasy Premier League site has added an improved 'Player Availability' page this year (though hidden under 'The Scout' tab?!). That also seems to be reasonably comprehensive and up-to-date, but god knows how it's supposed to be 'organised' - maybe by 'date of injury'? Obviously, arranging it by club and alphabetical order would be more sensible; but the denizens of FPL Towers seem to have a deep aversion to the sensible.]


So, what are the conundrums we face ahead of Gameweek 22?


Does anybody need to be moved out because of injury?

Arsenal lost another defender when Piero Hincapie limped out of the GW21 clash with Liverpool with some kind of leg-muscle injury. And as there's still no sign of Calafiori being able to return, this presumably means that Myles Lewis-Skelly or Ben White (with Timber switching to the left) could finally get a run of starts. When we see which of those options Arteta goes with, this might be a tempting cheaper route into extra representation from the Arsenal defence.

Villa's midfield lynchpin Boubacar Kamara had to come off in the FA Cup game against Leeds with a knee injury - which might keep him out for a while. And Emi Martinez came off during the last league game against Palace; apparently it's a calf-strain this time, rather than another instance of his recurring back problem - but he's still a doubt for this weekend.

Justin Kluivert has had to have a knee surgery which has probably put an end to his season. And back-up striker Enes Unal has picked up a leg-muscle problem which will sideline him for at least the rest of this month.

Jordan Henderson rolled his ankle badly in the FA Cup game against Sheffield Wednesday, but his subsequent withdrawal in that game was said to be just 'precautionary', and Keith Andrews is hopeful that he'll be OK for the visit to Chelsea.

Jamie Gittens and Liam Delap missed Wednesday's League Cup game against Arsenal because of an illness (though, for my money, Delap hasn't been looking good enough lately to earn a start ahead of Guiu, let alone Joao Pedro). And Malo Gusto and Reece James missed both this week's Cup games because of training knocks - but are expected/hoped to be OK again for this weekend. Cole Palmer also missed these last two games with a thigh muscle problem, although Liam Rosenior hopes it was fairly minor and won't keep him out any longer.

Everton's Tim Iroegbunam missed last week's FA Cup tie against Sunderland with a knock.

Conor Bradley collapsed near the end of the last league game against Arsenal with a serious knee injury; apparently he has not suffered ACL damage, but has needed surgery - and might miss the remainder of the season.

Fabian Schar suffered a serious ankle injury in the last league game against Leeds, and has needed surgery; he'll be lucky to return for the last few games of the season. Tino Livramento then suffered another hamstring strain in the FA Cup against Bournemouth and seems likely to be out for some time. It seems that Sven Botman may be rushed back into service alongside Thiaw in central defence, and Lewis Miley will have to continue to serve as a makeshift right-back: this is not promising for Newcastle's prospects in a fairly testing run of fixtures over the next month or so.

Forest goalkeeper John Victor somehow injured his knee (in the act of conceding their third goal against Villa in GW21, rashly charging 30 yards up the pitch to leave his goal empty); it's not clear what the problem is, but it's taking some time to resolve - so Matz Sels seems likely to step back between the posts (probably a more reliable choice anyway!).

Bertrand Traore returned early from AFCON after picking up an unspecified injury; so, he's back with Sunderland now, but it's unclear if he'll be available to play this week.

Lucas Bergvall and Rodrigo Betancur both had to come off with leg-muscle injuries in the GW21 loss to Bournemouth, while Richarlison pulled a hamstring in last weekend's FA Cup defeat by Villa.

Konstantinos Mavropanos had to be stretchered off in the FA Cup tie against QPR after getting caught in the back of the head by an opponent's knee as he was falling to the ground. It was at first feared that he might have suffered a serious neck injury; that seems not to be the case, fortunately, but it is likely he also suffered a heavy concussion, so will surely miss a week or two for that alone.


Do we have any players who are dropped, or not looking likely to get the starts we hoped for?

Michael Keane is serving a three-match ban for 'violent conduct' (although he's got the first one out of the way already in last week's FA Cup game), after his silly tug on Tolu Arokodare's braids. Fortunately, Nathan Patterson is ready to come back in at right-back, so Jake O'Brien can probably be slotted into central defence alongside Tarkowski - but Everton are stretched a bit thin at the back, with Coleman and Branthwaite still unavailable.

Manchester United's teenage winger Shea Lacey has a one-match ban after picking up two yellow cards in quick succession in the FA Cup tie against Brighton.

Oleks Zinchenko is on loan from Arsenal, so can't represent Forest against his parent club this week.

Oliver Glasner has said that Marc Guehi will not play for Palace this weekend, as a transfer away is being finalised. (Looks like City have landed him.)  Presumably, Jaydee Canvot - or perhaps Jefferson Lerma, who has played a few times on the right of the back-three - will step into his slot. But Palace too are looking very stretched in defence now.


Did anyone give other cause to consider dropping them?

Antoine Semenyo's move to City creates much uncertainty about how often - and where - he might play for them. Rather surprisingly, he got immediate starts in the FA Cup and League Cup games this past week, and notched attacking contributions in both. But Pep made extensive rotations from his usual 'first-choice' line-up for both games; and given that Semenyo's most likely competing for a place with Cherki and Doku - who've both been outstanding this season - on either the right or left of the attack, it looks rather doubtful to me if he will be able to rely on regular starts.


Did anyone play so well, you have to consider bringing them in immediately?

Well, I did a little 'Picks of the Week' post yesterday on some players who've looked really good recently (but are still surprisingly low-owned in FPL): Brenden Aaronson, James GarnerMateus Mané, and Harvey Barnes.


BEST OF LUCK, EVERYONE!


Friday, January 16, 2026

To Semenyo, or not to Semenyo....?

A photograph of Antoine Semenyo, posing for the first time in his Manchester City shirt - after his January transfer from Bournemouth
 

I've been having a bit of a schizophrenic experience with Antoine Semenyo this year. Although I've been a huge fan of his ability for a long time, and have been impressed by the strides he'd made over the past couple of years at Bournemouth, I still had reservations about him as an FPL asset (principally that he was so streaky: scoring heavily in short spells, but then having long dry runs - and seeming to be too easily eclipsed by other in-form players at the club: there were periods last season when he took a backseat not just to Kluivert and Tavernier, but even to Ouattara, Evanilson, and Brooks...). Those reservations, allied with misgivings about how well Bournemouth's form could hold up in the wake of having lost most of last year's stellar defence, deterred me from picking him in my initial squad. His very hot start to the season would soon compel a change of heart. But then, round about GW8 or 9, I grew disillusioned, suspecting that his early hot streak had run its course (one of the few 'prescient' calls I've correctly made this season!), and offloaded him again earlier than most. Ah, and then..... I was impressed that he was still playing very well, and regularly threatening goals, even during the long drought that followed the opening seven games, and took a chance on bringing him back again, just a little before he started finding the net once more.

And then... I prepared to offload him again as soon as his threatened transfer away from Bournemouth materialised. There seemed to be a chance that he might transfer out of the League altogether. And if he stayed in England, he'd surely only go to one of the top few clubs - where he couldn't be expected to enjoy a regular start.

I felt particular trepidation when City suddenly emerged as the favourites to land him (Liverpool and Arsenal seemed to have been the likelier destinations in earlier speculations; and Chelsea would have been my dream move for him - both for what he might have done to improve the team, and for himself having reasonable prospects of finding an immediate and regular start): Pep often takes weeks to train a player up in 'his' way of playing before he'll give him a regular start in the team. Even worse, he regularly blows hot and cold on whether he even likes wide attackers: neither Savinho nor Bobb, nor even Doku - who's been superb when he has played - has enjoyed regular starts this year. I was indeed a little afraid that Semenyo's pace and strength and finishing ability might pigeonhole him in Pep's mind more as a central striker option - and hence a rarely used understudy to Haaland.


But, lordy, lordy, he was thrown straight into the fray as a starter, without having to endure a month-long tactical indoctrination. Indeed, he started two games in succession, and provided attacking contributions in both! FPL managers who'd held on to him over the brief transfer saga this month are starting to feel pretty smug; and around 185,000 new owners have already come in for him over the past week-and-a-bit.

However, I would still sound a note of caution on his City prospects. These two games he just played were Cup ties - and they really don't have much bearing these days on how a club will approach its League fixtures. I think every single Premier League club - even those drawn against top-tier opponents - fielded their back-up keeper and at least 3 or 4 outfield rotations from their usual 'first-choice' line-up for the FA Cup 3rd Round. The mere fact that Semenyo started in both of these games really means little or nothing in terms of his likely status in Pep's pecking-order.

Moreover, Marmoush and Ait-Nouri (who's probably now more likely to be considered for a role as a winger, if he gets a look-in at all) have been away at AFCON, Bobb and Savinho are injured, and Doku's just back from an injury and perhaps still getting 'managed minutes' for medical reasons. So, Semenyo probably got this quick start more because of a lack of competition for the place than because he's immediately become Pep's new favourite.

If he starts regularly, and if he plays as well as he just did in these two Cup games, and if he forges a productive rapport with the great Haaland - then, yes, Antoine Semenyo could be one of the top-performing FPL 'midfielders' for the second half of the season.

But that's quite a lot of 'ifs'. Just about no-one at City (well, Donnarumma and most of the defence when they're all fit, Rodri if he's fully fit again, and of course Haaland - but no-one else) can be expected to enjoy an invariable start. And even very occasional benchings can be extremely disruptive to the form and confidence of a player who's become used to being an ever-present.

For me, Semenyo is a wait-and-see. If you have him already, obviously you'll hang on to him for a few more gameweeks. But if you don't, there are probably more important transfers to be considering for the next week or two. My feeling is that it's currently a bit of a 50/50 as to whether he'll turn out to be the star of the season or the flop of the season from here on. I very much hope it's going to be the former; but I wouldn't put any money on that just yet.


A little bit of Zen (77)

An illustration of the 'Grass is always greener...' metaphor: a photo of thick grass, divided by a line down the middle of the frame - on the left, the picture is bleached grey/sepia, on the right it's a lush green
 

"He who is not contented with what he has, would not be contented with what he would like to have."


Socrates



Thursday, January 15, 2026

Picks of the Week (8)

DISCLAIMER: I always refuse to identify myself as any sort of FPL 'guru' or 'mentor' or 'expert'. And I have previously on this blog expressed my reluctance to share many details of my own selections, or to make very specific player recommendations.

However, in addition to occasionally critiquing common 'sheep picks' of the moment (not all necessarily outright bad, but ridiculously over-popular selections), I will occasionally try to highlight one or two players who seem not yet to be very widely owned but are starting to look very tempting prospects.

I will generally try to come up with at least 2 options per week - so that it doesn't look like I'm making a sole recommendation. And these suggestions are intended to be simply 'worth thinking about', not at all 'must-haves'. And some weeks, most weeks, I'll have nothing..... In practice, I generally only come up with one of these posts once every month or two.


These suggestions here for Gameweek 22 might seem a little late (these players have all been making a mark for a few gameweeks already at least, and are seeing a modest upsurge in transfers now), or perhaps to be too brazenly chasing points (as they've all had particularly good returns in the last match or two), but I'll stand by them - as they are, at present, all still astonishingly under-owned in FPL.


A photograph of Leeds's American midfielder, Brenden Aaronson

So, first off, we have the Leeds attacking midfielder, Brenden Aaronson. The Yorkshire side really seem to have turned their ragged early season form around: they scored in every league game for the past two months, were unbeaten in December, and only had an astonishing 7-game unbeaten streak ended by a narrow defeat in the high-scoring game at Newcastle last time out. The sudden renaissance of their injury-prone centre-forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been grabbing most of the attention during this spell, but I think Aaronson is even more worth a look for FPL: 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 4 matches, and he's playing very well and very consistently all-around - he might well have nabbed a few more contributions than that. He looks to me like a player who could keep this little run of points-scoring going quite a bit longer; especially with the fairly amenable set of fixtures the club have upcoming: Fulham, Everton, and Forest in three of their next four. Even the big boys, Arsenal and City, are at least having to come to Elland Road; and the generally not too daunting run continues through March. The question is whether you can find room for another midfielder, with so many tempting options at the moment (Mbeumo and Ndiaye back from AFCON shortly, Palmer finally fit again and facing a very inviting set of fixtures for the next six gameweeks, Semenyo possibly going to prove explosive at City if he gets regular starts..., and Fulham's Harry Wilson in one of the most impressive veins of form we've seen from any midfielder in the last few years). If, however, you are interested in getting a better back-up keeper (Dubravka is looking like a liability now), or another premium forward (has Watkins finally found his scoring boots again?) or midfielder (we're probably going to want Palmer at some point in the second-half of the season, aren't we?), Aaronson looks like an appealing 'budget-enabler' at only 5.4 million pounds. And he's somehow owned by less than 0.5% of FPL managers.


A photograph of Everton midfielder, James Garner, sitting on the turf with his back leaning against the pitchside advertising hoardings

Next, I feel James Garner (the Everton central midfielder, not the Rockford Files actor!) could be worth a moment's consideration. Heck, The Athletic's sharp and amusing analyst, JJ Bull, was recommending him the other day as a potential cure for Manchester United's midfield woes! He's another, like Aaronson, who has been looking increasingly impressive over the last six or seven gameweeks. And there has been a modest rush for him already, after he grabbed a goal and an assist against Forest at the turn of the year. That little 'sheep stampede', though, has quickly lost momentum, and he's still only 3.5% owned! And if you're counting your pennies while coveting a big-money signing, he's even cheaper than Aaronson at just 5.1 million pounds. I think Aaronson has the bigger high-return potential in the short-term, but if you're looking for a dependable medium-term hold, Garner could be a good option. He's not likely to score very often, but his excellent delivery from corners and free-kicks - and even occasionally long-throws - makes him a good prospect for the occasional assist. And he's been a monster for the new 'defensive points', earning them in each of the last 6 games; and he's now second only to Elliot Anderson for his recorded tally of 'contributions'. Everton's form has been flakier than Leeds's of late, but that might change with the imminent return of Ndiaye and Idrissa Gueye; and, like Leeds, they have a fairly inviting sequence of opponents ahead (after their visit to Villa Park this weekend).


A photograph of Wolves's teenage attacking midfielder Mateus Mané

And if you're looking for a more left-field option as a cheap third striker, it's hard to look beyond Wolves's teen sensation Mateus Mané. The lad is so good, he's obviously going to start every game from here on; and his confidence is sky-high after a couple of goals and an assist in his last two league outings. Over 78,000 people have transferred him in since that breakthrough big haul against West Ham a few weeks back; but he's still owned by less than 0.8%. And he's the only starting forward priced at 4.5 million. (To be fair, Eli Kroupi is only 100k more, and Marc Guiu 300k cheaper; but neither of them are such nailed starters nor such good points prospects, I think.) Wolves are finally showing some signs of improvement under Rob Edwards; and they have a less daunting set of fixtures ahead, after a pretty horrendous December - and even their tougher opponents over the next couple of months or so are mostly home fixtures for them (Newcastle, Bournemouth, Chelsea, Villa, Liverpool). If Mané were classified as a midfielder (and he probably ought to be, on his current starting position), he'd be even more attractive for FPL. But if he keeps on playing like he has in those last two games, he'll be well worth considering as a forward too; and not just as a money-saving forward but, when in top form, perhaps as genuinely one of the best three available. The only things deflecting interest from him are Wolves's horrible team form so far this season, and the fact that FPL managers are not feeling too squeezed for budget at the moment and are mostly opting for the three best forwards they can get regardless of cost - but this may soon change.


A photograph of Newcastle winger Harvey Barnes celebrating a goal

One further quick suggestion to finish with - Newcastle's Harvey Barnes. Eddie Howe seems to have doubts about some aspects of his play, perhaps particularly in defensive covering, and has been hesitant to give him much of a run of starts (even when he's been able to stay fit; and that has been a bit of a problem for him since he joined the Tyneside club). And he's facing stiff competition in the wide positions from Gordon, Murphy, Wissa, and Elanga. But he's looking in stupendous form at the moment, is almost equally effective on either flank (where his positional rivals all heavily favour one side or the other), and has more pace and - arguably - better finishing than any of them. Successive braces against Leeds in the League and Portsmouth in the FA Cup have to make him worth a ponder.... If he continues to start and continues this vein of goalscoring form, he's probably a better short-term bet than Garner or Aaronson; but those are fairly big 'ifs' when weighed against the long-term consistency and guaranteed starts of the other two. He's more expensive too, at 6.1 million (but ownership only 1.4%). Newcastle's form has been very inconsistent this season too; and for a long time now, they've struggled particularly on the road. And they've now lost Schar and Livramento again, which could leave them in all sorts of trouble at the back. The upcoming fixtures are a bit of a mixed bag for them too: rather too many top opponents, perhaps, to make any of their players super-appealing picks. But.... when Barnes is in this sort of mood, he's well capable of going on a bit of a tear for 3 or 4 or 5 games and racking up some very nice points. (He is, in fact, a classic example of the sort of pick I really fancy but talk myself out of; and usually then regret having passed up when he scores 25 or 30 points over the following month!)

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Facebook page (An Administrative Note)

A photo of a blue lapel badge with the slogan 'I HATE Facebook' written on it in white lettering

When I launched this blog nearly 18 months ago, I set up a parallel Zen and the Art of FPL Facebook page.

If you've never visited it, you haven't really missed anything. I only used it as a platform to share links to posts here on the blog, and it didn't really include any 'original content' (except that in providing short introductory summaries to each linked post, I would occasionally frame its topic or purpose in a slightly different form of words than I had used in the original piece...). I was only using the Facebook page to try to gain a slightly wider exposure - to try to increase the blog's prominence in search-engine results, and perhaps to make it easier for folks to share any piece of mine that they happened to like.

I'd only just remembered to put a link to the Facebook page in the sidebar here a month or so ago....

And almost immediately I'd done that, I got shut out of my Facebook account... again.


Now, this has been happening more and more frequently over the last year. Indeed, just lately, I seem to have been getting 'locked out' once or twice a month! Most of these exclusions are rescinded within a day or two, sometimes after just a few hours; but more often I'm cut off for a full week; and, in the worst cases, once or twice for a month or so.

This latest interruption of service looks like being a particularly bad one - so, I've given up, for now, even trying to get back in; I'm expecting that I won't be able to regain access until at least the end of January.

Hence, there have been no posts on the Facebook page since just before Christmas. Indeed, at the moment, it doesn't appear to be visible any more - which may be an escalation over Zuck the Schmuck's previous persecutions of me.


Now, the loss of this rarely-visited-by-anyone page does not grieve me all that much. But I also maintained an FPL info page for my country of residence - which I saw as being a useful public service, and which put me in touch with a small community of fellow enthusiasts for the game. (That page still appears to be visible; but it's effectively now 'dead' since all posting rights seem to have been suspended.)  The loss of that second FB page galls me considerably.


The loss of access to every other Facebook page, however, and to my account details, my list of contacts, the messaging service - that is little short of a disaster.

In East Asia (and in many other parts of the 'developing world', I shouldn't wonder), Facebook is enormously popular. Most small businesses can't be bothered to set up and maintain their own website, so rely on a Facebook page instead; thus you can't readily keep abreast of openings and closings of local restaurants etc., special offers and promotions, special events like concerts and parties and such, without Facebook. The dratted site has also become the default option for setting up mutual support forums for various interest groups, especially among the expat community; so, you can't access 'buy & sell' groups, property rental listings, or general advice on how to deal with health issues, noisy neighbours, or whatever... without Facebook. And, worst of all for me, Facebook Messenger has become the preferred means of communication for just about everyone out here (I imagine there are alternative messaging services in the local languages of the region, but these perhaps don't support the use of English; so, anyone who wants to communicate with anyone else in English uses FB - not SMS, not even Whatsapp,.... Facebook!!); hence, when I'm shut out of my account, I can't contact my landlady or my visa agent or my doctor... or the handful of friends I have out here....  

Being cut off from all of that is not just an enormous hassle, it is potentially life-threatening. It is downright irresponsible of Facebook to shut people out of their accounts (without warning or explanation; and without providing any avenues for seeking redress!).


I hate you, Mark Zuckerberg, and all your incompetent minions! And most of all I hate your botlets of Artificial Stupidity which repeatedly judge me (oh, the irony!) to be potentially 'not a real person' - which is why I keep getting locked out.




Monday, January 12, 2026

Live and learn... (Or not!)

A screenshot of the section of the 'Rules' page on the FPL website showing the rules for 'Transfers'

Someone on the FPL forums last week was interested in whether a player could play twice in the same gameweek for different clubs - effectively getting a unique, one-person double gameweek by virtue of having completed a transfer mid-gameweek and immediately turning out for his new club in their later fixture within the same batch of games. 

Now, I can't ever recall such a thing happening in the 33 previous seasons of the English Premier League; but it does seem as if it should be theoretically possible.

In practice, though, it seems as if it would be extraordinarily unlikely. These days, clubs typically drop a player - even from training, let alone competitive matches - once they're the subject of a transfer negotiation. This is because, if they've accepted that they're almost certainly going to lose the player, they're now more focused on what they can do with the money they can make from selling him, and will be reluctant to jeopardise a move through the risk of a last-minute injury. There may, of course, also often be doubts about a player's level of motivation or general focus on his game if he's determined to move on. And the buying club may reasonably expect, if not insist that the player is not risked in a match while the transfer deal is being finalised.

So, it's very, very, very rare for a player to play for his old club shortly before signing for a new one. But.... it just happened with Antoine Semenyo - who scored an injury-time winner for Bournemouth against Spurs last Wednesday evening, and was then announced as a Manchester City player barely 12 hours later on Thursday morning.

Ah, but it's also very, very, very rare for a player to play immediately for his new club, particularly within a matter of a day or two; there hasn't been time to get up to speed with the new team's tactics, or to build any rapport with teammates; they might only have been able to participate in one or two full training sessions - just not enough time to bed them in. And you might think that this would be especially the case at a club like City, where Pep sometimes takes weeks inculcating 'his way' of playing in a new signing before he'll consider giving him a regular start.

But again, Antoine Semenyo just played immediately for City, only two days after his transfer to them was confirmed. Of course, that wasn't a League game. But this instance again suggests that playing for two teams in the same gameweek could conceivably occur... once in a blue moon.


However, I believe players have to be registered with the League by noon on the day before their first eligible match for a new club - which adds a further layer of impracticality. Moreover, the League's offices don't usually 'work' on the weekends (this is why this year's transfer window is extended to Monday 2nd February), making it even more difficult to 'complete' a transfer and have a player eligible to play for a new club within the tight timeline of a single gameweek - although we do occasionally get a gameweek with a game scheduled on a Tuesday, after a roster of games mostly played over the preceding weekend, so it could still be possible

Of course, we also have occasional double gameweeks where some clubs are playing twice within a few days; this would extend the narrow window of opportunity for a player to complete a mid-gameweek transfer - well, except that such double gameweeks never occur during the early-season or mid-season transfer windows!

Not many regular gameweeks are spread over more than 3 or 4 days (although we did have one last season stretched over nearly 2 weeks due to a winter 'mini-break'). But, in this recent case, if Bournemouth's match had been on the Tuesday evening, and City's on the Thursday, Semenyo's registration could have been completed in time for him to play for both clubs.

It seems like this is the only way that this eventuality could come about: a slightly extended and/or midweek gameweek, at least one weekday between the two different clubs' fixtures in that gameweek, and a player confirming a transfer and getting it registered with the League the morning after the first of those two games. That is a very unlikely combination of circumstances, and I rather doubt if it will ever happen.


But.... if it should, there doesn't seem to be any logical reason why FPL would refuse to acknowledge a transfer that the League has accepted as valid, and refuse to record the points the player scores in his first game for the new club.

And yet, I have seen it suggested by a couple of people on those forums that there is supposedly an obscure 'rule' denying a player the right to score points for different clubs in a single gameweek

I say 'obscure' because I have never even come across a reference to or discussion of this supposed rule; and it certainly isn't included in the main 'Rules' of the game displayed on the FPL website, which I've screenshotted above. (Although these rules are excessively concise, and in some respects just very badly written - unclear, potentially ambiguous on a few points. And I wouldn't be surprised if there is an 'expanded version' of the rules hidden away online somewhere...)  [An aside: Why, oh why is something as important as the Rules of the Game hidden under the 'Help' tab rather than being given a tab of its own??]

And of course, these two bods on the forums, having no idea of how sourcing accurate information from the Internet actually works, omitted to provide a URL link to where they had found this information (one of them at least screenshotted the article in question; but with no indication of where it had come from, and it appeared to be only a paraphrase/illustrative example rather than a direct citation of the original text of the supposed rule).


I've had a bit of a rummage around online myself, but still haven't been able to come up with any definitive answer to this conundrum. It would seem curmudgeonly, unreasonable, nonsensical of FPL to craft a special rule to deal with such a wildly unlikely circumstance - but some folks out there are convinced that they have done so. I will try to investigate the issue further.


Saturday, January 10, 2026

The roll of Doom

A close--up photograph of a guillotine, looking upwards towards the top of its frame - and the blue sky beyond

I had been thinking for a week or two of doing a brief post on possible/probable managerial sackings, and how that might impact FPL fortunes over the coming month or so, but.... well, I left it a bit too long, and the two prime candidates, Maresca and Amorim, pressed their own 'Eject' buttons to force an exit a bit earlier than most people were probably expecting.

Both Chelsea and United have been very inconsistent this season, and, overall, performing well below what you'd imagine their optimum potential ought to be. And both managers, you suspect, may have become somewhat unpopular with at least some of their players - particularly Amorim, whose obstinate adherence to a tactical system that obviously just didn't work with the players he had available, compounded by an insane insistence on tinkering with the line-up every single week for no fathomable reason, must have been enormously frustrating. So, I think there are excellent prospects for a very strong new manager bounce at both clubs. But that phenomenon is of very uncertain force and longevity, sadly tends to fizzle away quite soon.

I fancy that Liam Rosenior and whoever gets brought in at Old Trafford are both likely to be 'interim appointments' only, and will be moved on within 6-12 months, regardless of their results. But, that being the case, they're quite unlikely to get terminated earlier than that, even if their results are dreadful.

It's probably not a bad thing for a new United coach to have to start with fixtures against City and Arsenal, because no-one's really expected to win those, and anything the team can show in those games will be a plus. And after that daunting opening double, there's a run of much softer targets up until the end of February - and, with the aid of the new manager bounce, we might see some very good results for them in that period, I think. The problem for FPL is that we don't know what formation or selection the new man will favour, or how far certain players will thrive in it. Patrick Dorgu, in particular, has looked very promising when deployed in an attacking role a couple of times recently (and, since his FPL price has dropped so low, he's probably worth hanging on to as a 4th/5th defender, just to wait and see how things develop), but is quite likely to go back to being a more conventional full-back - if he keeps his place at all (Mazraoui or Shaw are better defensively, I think). If they show some defensive solidity, Lammens could become a tempting possibility in goal, at least as the back-up choice. Sesko, now that he finally seems to have found his scoring boots, could certainly be worth considering. Mount always looks good when he plays, but his injury-proneness has become a major problem. And of course Bruno is having his best season in years - although still, for me, a rather too intermittent points producer to be a really compelling FPL selection; his attractiveness will probably depend on whether the new coach continues to use him as a pivot player alongside Casemiro (there may be little alternative, since Casemiro doesn't have the legs to fill the role on his own any more, and Ugarte does not appear to be Premier League class) or allows him a freer role as an advanced playmaker, where he can really prosper. Cunha has started to show flashes of his former greatness again at last, but I fear that might evaporate as soon as Mbeumo's back; the Brazilian looks like one of those players who likes to have the spotlight on him, and only really excels when he's carrying the responsibility of being the team's star player and main goal outlet.

Enzo Fernandez (who's only intermittently shown FPL value), Cole Palmer and Joao Pedro (who haven't been worth selecting at all so far, but obviously have enormous potential if things start clicking for them under Rosenior), and Reece James (who's having a superb season, but unfortunately is still under the shadow of restricted minutes because of his past injury record) could become FPL essentials again at some point in the second-half of the season; and it might well happen immediately, since they face a very soft run of fixtures up until their clash with Arsenal at the end of next month.


What other managerial changes might be on the cards??

Well, I think Scott Parker is probably the most needful departure. He was quite a commanding presence on the pitch in his playing days, but he just doesn't give off that same energy as a coach - in fact, he doesn't express any energy at all. His morose, monotonous, emotionless drone of a press-conference performance sucks the life out of a room, and if he's like that in the dressing-room too, I can see why the Burnley players aren't lifting their level of performance. He gives the impression, too, of just not knowing why things are going wrong, having no real idea how to turn things around. And Burnley are deep, deep in the mire now, 8 points adrift of safety; the club needs to make a change soon to have any hope of Premier League survival. Frankly, I think it may already be too late, even if they can pull off an inspirational change of manager. But at least such a shake-up might shift the FPL calculus as to how much of a soft touch they're likely to be for opponents. (And I quite fancy Zian Flemming as a cheap 3rd striker option, if he keeps a regular start....)

Thomas Frank, alas, is probably the next most likely to get the axe fairly soon. A tremendously likeable man, and widely regarded as one of the most astute coaches in the game, but.... he is looking rather out of his depth at Spurs. But that may be second only to Manchester United as an ultimate 'poisoned chalice' appointment; there have been so many things wrong at that club for so many years that it's a huge task for any manager to dig them out of the mire in a single season. Being without their first-choice forward and their principal playmaker all season so far, and usually without at least one of their main defensive options as well, has obviously taken its toll. West Ham and Burnley up next ought to be easy wins; and then they have City, for whom they have become a bit of a bogey team in recent years. A few decent results over the coming month, and a few encouraging acquisitions during the window, should lift the clouds over Frank's head, I think. But some bad performances and bad results in these next three fixtures could seal his fate - that's how much of a knife-edge he's on right now.

I fear poor Nuno Espirito Santo's days might be numbered as well. I really like him, I think he comes across as a very honest, direct, decent and affable character, and he's proved himself in the past to be a very capable coach. But he's looking depressed at the moment - sad, lost, and defeated, like he doesn't think he can fix what's wrong at West Ham. Maybe no-one can - not without a major lift from some January transfers. But I think the club will have to try someone different quite soon, if they can't at least start to claw back some of the gap to Leeds and Forest. Matches against promoted Sunderland and Burnley in the next few weeks are likely to be make-or-break for Nuno, I suspect.

Sean Dyche is probably somewhat at risk too. Forest have improved a bit from their rocky start, particularly the horrible nosedive they took during the ill-advised Postecoglou interlude, but they're still not very consistent, still nowhere near the levels they were achieving last year. So long as they can maintain a decent gap over the bottom three (which might be more down to their continuing failures than Forest's 'success'), he'll probably be OK. But if the poor results continue while Burnley or West Ham mount a bit of a rally, I think he could be out of the door very quickly. Evangelos Marinakis has shown himself to be a very emotional, impulsive, and impatient man - and he's likely to get very spooked at any prospect of descending to the Championship again.

Andoni Iraola might also be under some threat, given Bournemouth's horrible run of results over the past couple of months (and things might get even worse for them if they do indeed lose Semenyo - and can't strengthen the squad in this transfer window). But they have a very inviting run of fixtures coming up now (apart from Liverpool at the end of the month, and at least that's at home). And frankly, those poor results have looked very largely down to some bad luck, rather than really bad performances. Given what Iraola has achieved for the club over the past couple of seasons, he deserves to be cut a lot of slack during an occasional downturn like this. I really can't see him deserving the sack, even if Bournemouth were to finish the season skirting the relegation zone - but I really don't think that's likely. Should it happen, however, the club's ownership might think that a new broom might re-energize things; but not for another month or two yet, at least, I would think, and probably not until the end of the season. The graver risk, perhaps, is that he might get tempted by offers from bigger clubs.


I don't think anyone else looks likely to be at risk this season. Arne Slot was probably always fairly bulletproof at Anfield - unless the team had sunk deep into the bottom half of the table, and they're surely much too good for that to happen. If they crash out of the Champions League early and fail to qualify for it next year through their league finish, then there might be a re-evaluation at the end of the season; but I can't see him going before that.

And Rob Edwards probably has the most secure job in the league right now: he was obviously hired for next year in the Championship. Salvaging a little bit of pride for Wolves, perhaps not finishing dead last, would be an adequate achievement for him this season - and, frankly, nobody is really expecting even that much.

Friday, January 9, 2026

At last, a little bit of REST....

A stock photo of a man's feet stretched out in front of him, resting on his work desk

It's all been a bit too much over the past month or so, hasn't it? Especially over this last fortnight since Christmas...

Although we should, of course, be paying attention to what goes on in the 3rd Round of the FA Cup this weekend, at least we don't have any more Premier League/FPL to worry about for a whole 8 days - until the lunchtime Manchester derby on Saturday, 17th January.

Make the most (or the least...) of the TIME OFF!

A little bit of Zen (76)

A close-up colour photograph of two daisies in a grassy meadow
 

"Out of intense complexities, intense simplicities emerge."


Winston Churchill




"Simpliciy is not a simple thing."





Thursday, January 8, 2026

Luck-o-Meter 25-26 - Gameweek 21

A half-moon swing-scale, with a pointer in the middle; it is graded from red (BAD) at the left end to yellow (GOOD) at the right

The 'holiday' mayhem continues into a cold, wet January - now with an added sprinkle of uncertainty and confusion from the opening of the mid-season transfer window. And it's another midweek gameweek, following on with very little break from the last batch of fixtures at the weekend...!


The 'early' fixture on Tuesday, West Ham v Forest, was a pretty drab affair. West Ham were somewhat improved over their recent terrible performances, and might feel a little aggrieved that the Fates were so harsh on them here: they appeared to have taken a 2-0 lead early in the second-half through Summerville's stinging half-volley from the edge of the box, but it was ruled out for a very narrow offside by someone else during the build-up. They conceded an equaliser soon afterwards, again an unlucky fluke: Dominguez's near-post flick-on from a corner was completely uncontrolled, intended merely to help the ball on towards the far post - but it fortuitously looped high into the far top corner of the goal. And then the visitors sealed the points with an extremely soft penalty (goalkeeper collides with an attacking player when trying to punch away a corner - when is that ever culpable?).


Bournemouth finally ended their long - and often very unlucky - winless run with a narrow victory over a spirited Spurs. Their visitors had taken an early lead with a fine solo effort from Tel (although his final shot from the edge of the box was not very powerful, and Petrovic was probably somewhat at fault in letting it past him), but Evanilson soon equalised with possibly the best header we've yet seen this season. A rasper from Kroupi then put them ahead, but in the second-half Spurs pinned them down in their own box for long periods, and an equaliser began to seem inevitable. Spurs were frustrated when a penalty awarded to Van de Ven, going down in the box after one of his marauding 60-yard carries, was rescinded after a pitchside review; but the wonder here was that Darren England ever bought such an elaborate dive - the Spurs man was really lucky to escape a booking for 'simulation' (although he got one anyway for arguing about the decision); presumably that was only because there had indeed been some contact with the Bournemouth defender, but clearly 'initiated' by his own leaping into him. Other good efforts - a long-range curler fizzed on to the roof of the net by Bergvall in the first-half, a corner headed against the foot of the post by Richarlison early in the second - had failed to go in, but eventually Palhinha got them their deserved equaliser with a spectacular bicycle-kick. Alas for Spurs, this roused the home side to go on the attack again in the closing 10 minutes, and Semenyo finally came up with a screamer in the final moments of added-on time. There seems to have been only one bad refereeing decision in this one, and that was corrected with the help of VAR. But it was remarkable that all of the goals were such improbable bangers (a mini 'Goal of the Month' competition in one game!): both teams had an xG of only about 1.4, but the match ended up 3-2??!

Poor Sunderland really seem to be struggling without their African contingent, especially their midfield lynchpin Sadiki. They barely mustered an attempt on goal at Brentford, and even squandered a chance to equalise from the penalty spot (Kelleher will presumably be credited with a 'save', but Le Fee chipped it tamely into his hands). Brentford really could have won by a much bigger margin, with Lewis-Potter (from a free-kick) and Schade both rattling the woodwork.

Villa were well below their best on their visit to Palace, and although it was quite a lively game, both defences ultimately came out on top. Palace had most of the chances, but couldn't convert; and the best opportunity probably came right at the end for the visitors, when Lindelof got a great header on Cash's left-footed cross, but it hit the post. Villa fans - and some FPL managers - will be alarmed that Emi Martinez, perhaps suffering from his 'back problem' again, had to be replaced at half-time by Marco Bizot.

Michael Keane popped up for a goal yet again, his third of the season; although this was a somewhat untypical one, not powering home a header from three yards out, but having a hopeful swing at a mishit shot by Iroegbunam. He nearly notched a second not too long after, heading powerfully against a post from Garner's delightful dead-ball delivery. But Wolves fought back bravely in the second-half, and their new teen sensation Mateus Mané again grabbed a superb goal to earn them a point. Everton had to weather a late storm after Keane foolishly got himself sent off for tugging on Arokodare's braids as they both jumped for a high ball in the middle of the park. And in the closing minutes, Grealish also got himself sent off for showing dissent twice in quick succession. Shortly after that, Hugo Bueno nearly claimed a winner, his 25-yard curler being brilliantly fingertipped over the bar by Pickford for the 'Save of the Week'.

Fulham failed to make the most of their one-man advantage, after Cucurella had got himself sent off early in the game for hauling back a breaking Harry Wilson just short of the penalty area; Chelsea were still on top for long spells, and unfortunate not to put away some of their chances. But the irrepressible Harry Wilson - the hottest player in the league at the moment - came through with a late winner for them (after being denied one earlier for a very harsh offside).

With Dias expected to be out for at least a month with a thigh strain and Gvardiol facing a lengthy recuperation from a broken leg, Pep opted to bring back 20-year-old Max Alleyne from loan at Watford (where he's had 15 starts, and has apparently been playing very well) to start in central defence along with the recalled Khusanov. As if that weren't disruption enough, he also chose to 'rest' not only just-back-from-injury Rodri, but also Cherki and O'Reilly, two of his best players over the last month or so. Not so surprising then, that City were so far off their usual game (although it was a lack of control in midfield more than a lack of cohesion in defence that seemed to be the problem early on), and Brighton dominated the early part of the game, forcing a few saves out of Donnarumma and a superb last-ditch challenge from Khusanov to deny Rutter. It was unfortunate for the plucky visitors that they conceded the lead - to a Haaland penalty, after carelessly giving the ball away 30 yards out on their right-flank, leading to City's only decent attack of the opening period - deep in first-half stoppage time. The second-half was more even, although Brighton still had slightly the best of it (though being lucky to survive some big scares, particularly when twice passing the ball to Bernardo Silva in their own box; the first time, shortly after the interval, he rushed his shot and slammed it against the outside of the post; the second, he unselfishly squared the ball to Haaland, who couldn't beat Verbruggen) and deservedly got an eventual equaliser through Mitoma.

Interim United coach Darren Fletcher switched to a much more sensible 4-2-3-1 line-up, with a potent-looking attacking three of Cunha, Fernandes, and Dorgu supporting Sesko, and they produced one of their best displays for a long while - with Sesko bagging a brilliant brace (very nearly a hattrick, or more). The home side, however, rose to the occasion and gave perhaps their best performance of the entire season. Burnley left-back Bashir Humphreys, making only his third start of the season, gave the home side a fortuitous lead when his cross took a huge deflection off Ayden Heaven to loop over Lammens into the goal. And shortly afterwards, the youngster preserved the lead by clearing Cunha's header out from under his crossbar. A little later though, Sesko was unjustly denied an equaliser when his goal was ruled out for a non-existent 'foul' by Martinez (Walker had fallen over under the lightest possible push in his back, scarcely even a caress...). Esteve then made an even more stunning goal-line block from Dorgu's dink over the keeper. United made a storming start to the second period, with Sesko grabbing a quickfire brace, and Fernandes firing against the post, but then Jaidon Anthony finally found his scoring boots again (remember, he notched 4 in the opening 6 games to make him a surprise FPL frontrunner, but has had a long string of blanks since then) to earn a point. In a thrilling match, 18-year-old United winger Shea Lacey, given a token run-out for the last 5 minutes or so, also cracked a superb effort against the crossbar. Overall, a draw seemed a fair result here, but this new-look United emphatically demonstrated that they are potentially a far better team than the inept Amorim has allowed them to be over the last year-and-a-bit.

Poor Malick Thiaw had some rotten luck, first falling over to give away the ball to Aaronson to nick the opening goal, and then having a penalty given against him to put the home side behind again (very harsh, this one: it was not clear where on the upper arm the ball struck him, and it was entirely outside of his control, as he was falling over and only had his arms extended to break his fall - I really don't see how this one was given); and then being withdrawn at half-time (injury, or just being spared further embarrassment/fearing that his confidence had been fatally dented??). They also lost Schar 15 minutes from the end, with what looks like it might be a bad ankle injury - so, once again, the club is getting dangerously short of fit defenders, and will probably have to look to bring in stop-gaps over the window. Despite these setbacks, Newcastle increasingly dominated the game as it went on, but they survived a big scare when James Justin beat Pope to an Aaronson cross from the left but headed against the crossbar, and then went behind again from another banger from Aaronson. But Aaronson was then penalised for a handball in the closing minutes of regular time to give the home side a lifeline (again very harsh: the ball was fired at him from such close-range that he really had no chance to get out of the way; moreover, he appeared to be just outside the box - and we never heard VAR's verdict on this issue). We then got a colossal 10 minutes of additional time indicated (apparently very largely for Leeds's time-wasting late in the game), extended yet further by an injury stoppage after the end of the regulation 90 minutes - enabling Barnes's to grab the winner in the 102nd minute! It was probably a deserved result on the overall balance of play - but very hard on Leeds, who'd come so close to a vital win.


The Arsenal v Liverpool game ended up being a tense goalless draw, as might have been expected. Arsenal imposed relentless pressure in the final third for the first 15 minutes or so, but couldn't find a breakthrough, and from there on the visitors were increasingly able to get into the game, and created more moments of real danger. The worst of these was when a hasty back-pass from Saliba found Raya charging out towards the edge of the box, such that the keeper had to make an immediate panicked clearance which went straight to Bradley, whose first-time effort from 30 yards struck the face of the crossbar. Szoboszlai also went fairly close with a long-range free-kick in the second-half. Arsenal's only major chance fell to Gabriel in the final seconds of the game, when he was first to Madueke's high corner at the far post but couldn't control his header. It's a measure of how sterile the game ultimately was that only Konate and Zubimendi earned 'defensive points', and only just barely; both sides had long spells of ultimately unproductive possession, not much to-and-fro. Liverpool, however, might feel somewhat cheated in that they had two pretty good penalty shouts ignored. In the first, Hincapie brought down Frimpong and left him in some pain: the contact didn't look that heavy, and might have been interpreted as a half-and-half 'coming together', but the Arsenal defender definitely stepped into the attacker, and happened to catch his toe just as he was lifting his foot - turning the foot sharply inwards and badly spraining the ankle. Later, Wirtz was brought down by Trossard, but again got nothing: the German probably ran into his opponent too readily, went down a little elaborately - but again, Trossard clearly stepped across him, and we see those given more often than not. Both calls might have been slightly contentious, not entirely clearcut; but to me they both looked considerably more than 50/50 in Liverpool's favour, and it really seems a travesty that they didn't get either of them. (Will these incidents stop Arsenal fans whingeing that big decisions never go their way? Of course not!)  Unhappy news at the end, when Conor Bradley collapsed on the touchline immediately after making a clearance in stoppage time, and looked as though he might have ruptured knee ligaments - let's hope not; he has been one of the few bright spots in Liverpool's thus-far tepid season. Hincapie also had to come off early in the second-half.


It's another rather weird FPL 'Team of the Week', with Thiago the only widely owned player featuring in it, and Kelleher coming out as top keeper for his not-really-a-save from Le Fee's epically bad penalty attempt. And it's yet again a miserably low global average of just 48 points - though at least this time we haven't had any such egregious misfortunes as an injury-flagged player unexpectedly starting and getting the haul of the week...! An unusually large number of goals, most of them again from somewhat unexpected sources, 3 red cards (all uncontentious, at least), an unjustly denied goal for Benjamin Sesko, bad penalty decisions against both Newcastle and Leeds in their game, a questionable one against West Ham to deny them a draw, and 2 very dubious 'no penalty' decisions for Liverpool which might have skewed the title race, plus a few very tight offsides again - it's not quite as bad as GW20, but still looking like an 8 out of 10 on the 'Luck-o-Meter' this gameweek.


Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Feeling overwhelmed...?

 

For no particularly good reason (only the TV companies' remorseless appetite for airtime-filler...), the opening match of the Gameweek 21 schedule, West Ham v Nottingham Forest, is kicking off tonight - Tuesday evening, 8pm, UK time.

These midweek gameweeks are a huge hassle for everyone in FPL, because almost everybody has less time to attend to these things during the working week: certainly less time during the day to check up on the latest team news, but also probably less opportunity to watch games live - or perhaps even to catch up on highlights (promptly, or at all...).

But it's even worse for folks like me living in Asia - well, anywhere east of the Arabian Gulf or the Caspian Sea, really. For us, evening games are starting at midnight or later, much too late for most of us to even think of watching them live; much too late, in fact, or most of us to even be staying up until the FPL deadline to try to catch late-breaking team news before finalizing our squads.

And when the games are staggered across multiple days, that hassle is greatly increased; especially when having an 'early' game or two, a day ahead of the majority of the gameweek fixtures, compresses the gap with the preceding gameweek such that we'll have no real opportunity to learn about new injury problems,... or, really, to ponder our FPL squads at all! It is a right pain-in-the-arse, frankly. 

At least, if the Gameweek started on Wednesday, we'd have a full two-day breather after GW20, and some chance for press conference updates to filter through to us on the far side of the world. Thanks to this bloody West Ham game, we're essentially flying blind into this one...


All of which is to say.... no, I don't really have time to do my usual detailed preview for Gameweek 21; sorry.

The main NEW INJURY PROBLEMS I'm aware of are:

Wesley Fofana (illness) and Robert Sanchez (muscle strain) missed the last game for Chelsea.

Jefferson Lerma (concussion) Nathaniel Clyne (groin strain) both had to come off with knocks in the weekend game against Newcastle at the weekend. That leaves Palace stretched very thin in defence.

Leeds right-back Jayden Bogle missed the weekend's game against Manchester United with a calf problem.

Hugo Ekitike was missing at the weekend with a slight hamstring strain.

The big news of the gameweek though, is that Josko Gvardiol had to come off early in the second-half against Chelsea with a leg injury, and has since needed surgery on a cracked tibia - so, he's likely to be out for several weeks at least (a major blow to the 10% or so of Fantasy managers who own him). Even worse for Pep, Ruben Dias also had to come off shortly before the end of the game with a leg-muscle problem. I wonder if they might have to recall Manuel Akanji from his loan to Inter.

Jacob Murphy had to come off before the end against Palace, complaining of a tight hamstring.

Callum Hudson-Odoi missed the Villa game with a sore Achilles tendon, and goalkeeper John Victor had to come off in the second-half with a pulled muscle behind his knee.

Sunderland striker Wilson Isidor was also missing at the weekend, apparently because of a training-ground knock.

Mo Kudus had to come off against Sunderland with a thigh strain.

Lucas Paqueta missed the Wolves game with a back problem.

Joao Gomes and Hwang Hee-Chan both had to come off in the West Ham game with muscle soreness, Gomes suffering in the groin and Hwang in the calf.


At least there ae no new suspensions to worry about for this game. And Xavi Simons, Moises Caicedo and Ethan Ampadu are available again after serving their bans.


Oh, and Ruben Amorim's been sacked at last (about 8 months too late, but better late than never...). Youth team coach Darren Fletcher is expected to take over as an interim manager, but I wonder if the ownership made the move now because they think they can land the suddenly available Maresca. A change like this is always disruptive, but Amorim has been such an embarrassment of flailing disaster (and a source of constant uncertainty for his players as he messes with the line-up every single week!) that I would expect the 'new manager bounce' at United could be huge - even if only short-lived.


The video clip at the top is of course from the seminal campus comedy National Lampoon's 'Animal House': the classic little scene where the boys go shopping at a local supermarket to get food for an upcoming toga party at their fraternity house, and geeky freshman Kent Dorfman (Fraternity name: 'Flounder'), played by the late Stephen Furst, for a while manifests unexpected dexterity in catching the avalanche of food items tossed his way by his mischievous frat brothers. It is, I think, one of the great bits of improvised physical comedy in cinema. (I saw this film during my first week at university; and I like to say that I have never looked forward since...)


Sunday, January 4, 2026

Luck-o-Meter 25-26 - Gameweek 20

A half-moon swing-scale, with a pointer in the middle; it is graded from red (BAD) at the left end to yellow (GOOD) at the right  

The 'holiday' mayhem continues into a cold, wet January - now with an added sprinkle of uncertainty and confusion from the opening of the mid-season transfer window.


Forest were looking dogged and determined in their visit to Villa for the lunchtime game, and frustrated their in-form hosts for long periods. Apart from an excellent save by John Victor in the opening minutes when a blocked clearance from Neco Williams fortuitously fizzed sideways across the area straight to Watkins lurking in the middle at the edge of the six-yard box, there were few clearcut chances for either side. However, Watkins broke the deadlock with a ripper from 20 yards out on the stroke of half-time. Villa appeared to have given themselves a comfort margin when McGinn grabbed a second within minutes of the restart; but their energy levels dropped off, and Forest gratefully took the chance to grow back into the game. Bakwa should really have got them back in the game when he ghosted in unmarked just beyond the far post to meet Hutchinson's cross, but hopelessly miscued his header. Shortly afterwards, Gibbs-White broke in behind and finished coolly past Martinez to give the visitors hope again - but a second goal from McGinn soon dashed them again; a terrible error from John Victor, coming 30 yards out of his goal to challenge for a ball, when there were plenty of his own defenders on hand to deal with it, allowing McGinn to calmly curl the ball around him into an empty net. The Brazilian keeper apparently pulled a muscle behind his knee in the course of this, and was immediately replaced by Sels.


Brighton should really have won more comfortably against a particularly clueless-looking Burnley. Fine goals from Rutter and Ayari secured the win, but they could, should have had many more goals; debutant winger Kostoulas nearly opened the scoring just a few minutes in, but had been offside by a shoulder; near the end, De Cuyper thundered a free-kick against the top of the left-hand post. The visitors had only 1 effort on goal during the first 70 or 80 minutes, but roused themselves to a few desperate final flurries, one of which had to be headed out from under the bar by Kadioglu (which was apparently enough to secure him a massive BPS tally and maximum bonus points, despite not registering any attacking contributions and only 4 game actions eligible for 'defensive points'!!), and another of which was eventually claimed by Verbruggen after the ball had pinged around the six-yard box rather worryingly for several seconds. Burnley are now looking very nearly as certain to be relegated as Wolves.

Wolves appear revitalised by the sensational form of their new young attacking midfielder Mateus Mané, only turned 18 a few months ago and just promoted from the youth team for the past three games. He regularly tore a woeful West Ham apart, winning a penalty (although that was very soft), scoring a terrific final goal from the edge of the box, and a little later having another good, low cross-shot well turned away by Areola - after he'd got away from two West Ham defenders on the edge of the area with a Cruyff turn. However, West Ham really should have had a penalty of their own in the opening minutes, when Freddie Potts was clipped on the toe by wild swish from a Wolves defender; the contact was fairly light, but completely clearcut - and I don't see how that was not given. And if the visitors had obtained an early lead so easily, perhaps the match would have taken on a very different character; although, to be honest, West Ham looked so lethargic and demoralised in this game, were so easily dominated by the home side, they were probably lucky not to lose by a landslide; they needed a couple of outstanding saves from Areola to keep thm hanging on by their fingernails. The penalty award against them, though, looked very dubious: Magassa and Mané both lifted their feet to a high, dropping ball in the box - but their boots barely clashed, and it was an entirely 50/50 coming-together, no way a penalty. West Ham had another shout of their own a bit later when Soucek went down while grappling with Krejci at a corner, although there didn't look to be anything in that one; if anything, Soucek was the one holding on, and trying to drag his defender down with him.


The major FPL bombshell of the weekend was that Declan Rice, who'd appeared to be a big doubt before the game, was fine to play from the start after all - and had an absolute blinder, delivering what will probably be his best points return of the season... and one of the best from any player. Away to Bournemouth on the weekend after New Year's might not have looked one of Arsenal's more promising fixtures anyway, and indeed, they did concede first; but it proved to be quite the ding-dong game, with Rice registering a brace of goals (for the first time ever in the Premier League) and a huge 'defensive contributions' tally; but many FPL managers (he's owned by just over 20%, and it really ought to be more) - not unreasonably - might have left him on the bench this week (though some may have enjoyed some further luck if an unexpected non-appearance allowed him to be auto-subbed in for them). To add insult to injury, Saka - a popular captaincy choice this week - was rested (something Arteta just about never does, so long as both feet are still attached to his ankles); although he did at least come on for the last 20 minutes or so, and was still able to register a contribution.

The game got off to a calamitous start for the title-chasers, with Gabriel making a horrible mistake inside 10 minutes - bizarrely passing the ball to Evanilson in the middle 20 yards out (leaving him to pass the ball into an empty net, since Raya had come way out to the left to be available for a short back-pass). He was able to at least partly atone very shortly afterwards when he grabbed an equaliser by lashing in a left-foot half-volley at the far post from a corner (Fate being rather on his side, as it was somewhat fortuitous that the ball broke so perfectly to him after the packed Bournemouth defence had successfully blocked initial efforts from Hincapie and Martinelli). However, the home side were well on top for most of the first-half, creating constant danger; and although the Rice goals in the third quarter of the game deflated them slightly, they again came back very strongly in the closing minutes, encouraged by substitute Kroupi's banger from 20 yards out which put them back in contention. Arsenal managed to convert three pretty difficult chances, but their xG was lower than Bournemouth's and they really looked second-best in this game.


Leeds v Manchester United was almost unwatchably dull in the first-half, looking very much as if it was going to be one of those games that would end goalless because neither side were good enough to create a decent chance. Fortunately, both sides upped their game somewhat in the second-half, though this still very much had the look of a lower mid-table clash. There was a strange moment early on when Cunha appeared to have lashed home a long-range half-volley after a long clearance from Lammens. It was flagged offside, but I still haven't seen any convincing explanation for this decision; 2 or 3 United players were just offside when Lammens launched his kick upfield, but they all ran back on, and I don't think any of them played the ball on its way through to Cunha - who had been onside throughout: a rough decision, and frankly a rather baffling one. Calvert-Lewin also had one very good effort in the first-half, a glancing header that flashed across the goal and struck the face of the far post. Apart from these untypical moments of excitement, it was a terribly sterile first 45 minutes. Leeds really looked like they deserved 3 points from the game, but Cunha popped up for an equaliser just a few minutes after Aaronson had given them the lead, and that deflated them rather; although Okafor's bicycle-kick attempt nearly gave them the win, demanding a sharp save from Lammens, and Piroe curled an effort on to the roof of the net in the dying minutes. Cunha finally seems to be coming into a little bit of goalscoring form - perhaps enjoying the greater responsibility placed on him in Mbeumo's absence. Ominous signs afterwards when Amorim struck a petulant note in his press conference, apparently declaring that he would leave the club at the end of his current contract, and also hinting at a rift with the hierarchy in asserting that he was supposed to be 'the manager' not just the coach at the club (which is usually code for being pissed off that the Sporting Director isn't giving you the new players you want... and generally leads to an imminent departure, as we've already seen this season with Nuno Espiritu Santo and Enzo Maresca). [Ooh, that's a bingo! Nothing especially prescient in my saying this - but, of course, he did indeed get the boot first thing the next day, mere hours after I wrote this.]


Everton v Brentford was an all-action game - really the day's best, though well down the 'Match of the Day' running order, presumably simply because they're not 'big name' teams. Thiago, who had been strangely goalless in December, despite continuing to put in excellent performances, quelled any doubts about his form by bagging a hattrick (and it might have been 4: he brought one very good stop out of Pickford in the first-half). Everton's usually robust defence was a bit out-of-sorts here, perhaps just overstretched by the pace of their visitors' relentless counter-attacks; the home side had some decent moments of their own, though, forcing a few very good saves out of Kelleher, and grabbing a couple of late consolation goals. Thiago had been clearly offside for his second when the long ball was initially played over the top, but was safely back onside before the final pass was played to him; but again we suffered a long VAR check, and - as with the Wirtz incident at Craven Cottage - the SAOT picture eventually shared did not correspond at all to what we'd seen on the TV; and it was apparently declaring him to have been onside (presumably for the final pass rather the initial long-ball, for which his position should not have been relevant?) only by the thickness of a wrinkle on the defender's forehead - I do wish this nonsense would stop! Moyes risked the ire of FPL enthusiasts - and possibly some Everton fans too - by withdrawing Tyler Dibling and Dwight McNeil at half-time. Lewis-Potter, recently popular in FPL because of his scoring potential when started as a forward, was unexpectedly rested for this one, only coming on for the last 25 minutes or so (which, unfortunately, was when Everton banged in their 2 goals....).

The Fulham v Liverpool game was marred by more weirdness with the offside calls. There was a protracted delay to confirm Harry Wilson's goal, initially flagged offside by the linesman, although to the naked eye he had looked clearly on (not by much, but fairly clearly an inch or two the right side of Van Dijk); but when we finally got the SAOT graphic, he and the last defender appeared to be exactly level, and it was not clear what 'the line' was being drawn on! The 'margin', if indeed there was one at all, can't have been much more than the thickness of a player's shirt; I don't like to see goals ruled out for such minimal distances, but it's also a bit harsh on defending sides when a decision goes against them on such a hair's-breadth difference; I really hope we soon see a revision of the Offside Law to allow for a much larger and more clearcut gap between the attacker and the last defender. The subsequent delay for Wirtz's equaliser was even more confounding: in the TV freeze-frame that kept being shown, the German was clearly offside by the length of his leading foot, from instep to toe (and it actually looked as if that chosen frame might have been one or two premature, that Bradley had not yet finished releasing the ball to him!); but the SAOT picture, when it finally appeared, showed his leg less extended and the foot twisted inward - so that the tip of his toe was now exactly level with the line of the last defender. When there is such a big discrepancy between the TV picture and the SAOT rendering, we really need some explanation of that - to restore some confidence (of which I, frankly, have none at all!) in this new system: it appeared very much as though the SAOT had chosen the moment of ball-release from Bradley (supposedly determined by a sensor inside the ball?) at least a tenth of a second or so too early - and that makes a huge difference on tight calls like this. I have said often that I think the answer to this is not to 'improve' the technology, but simply to abandon the idea of trying to determine such tiny margins and return to the old policy of 'giving the benefit of the doubt' to the attacking side. Alas, in this technological age, I doubt that will ever happen.

Ekitike was another omission, yet another victim of a late hamstring problem. Liverpool had some good chances (Gakpo and Macallister both headed against the bar), but they looked a bit short of energy at times; even the usually dynamic Szoboszlai seemed a bit leggy here. Fulham were overall much the better team, and their pressure through the second-half might have wrapped up a win (especially when Harry Wilson chipped Alisson, but saw the effort bounce back off the top of the crossbar) before they were shocked by Gakpo's late second goal; they were thoroughly deserving of their own late, late goal - substitute Reed's absolute banger - that saved them a point.

Eddie Howe started Wissa over Woltemade and Murphy over Barnes, while Glasner gave an immediate start to Brennan Johnson, barely 48 hours after joining the club on loan from Spurs. Visitors Palace survived an early scare when Gordon finished off a quick break, but Wissa was - rightly - adjudged to have been very slightly offside as he ran through to receive the initial through-ball. It was mostly one-way traffic, though - with Palace's only decent chance unfortunately falling to Will Huges, who prodded wide - and they were visibly tiring as Newcastle ramped up the pressure in the last 25 minutes; they really might have conceded a third, as Henderson made a fantastic save from Barnes with his foot in the closing minutes, and Willock somehow blazed the rebound wide of an open-goal. Things are really starting to look a bit grim for Palace.

Spurs and Sunderland both played like teams with a bad New Year's hangover; this might well have been the poorest performance of the season from both of them. Spurs had much the best of the first-half, but didn't have the quality to create any decent chances, let alone convert any (their best, actually, didn't come until the closing minutes, when Porro put in a sublime cross from the right, but substitute Palhinha couldn't direct his header on target). Sunderland will be kicking themselves that their defending completely broke down on one first-half corner, allowing Ben Davies (getting his first start of the season, mysteriously preferred now to Djed Spence) to lash the ball home from the edge of the six-yard box. In the second-half, Sunderland roused themselves to chase the game, and began to look more like the home side - as Spurs had no response. An equaliser started to look inevitable, and Spurs were lucky, really, not to end up losing 2-1 or 3-1.


Gonzalez and Savinho were ruled out by injury for City, and Doku was strangely left on the bench; and they lost Ruben Dias and Gvardiol to injuries in the second-half here; but at least Rodri was able to return, lasted the full 90 minutes, and looked somewhere near his best again. Chelsea were without Caicedo due to a totting-up suspension (in the last game before the mid-season 'amnesty'), Fofana due to illness, and goalkeeper Sanchez due to a muscle strain suffered in training, but didn't appear too disturbed by the acrimonious departure of their manager in midweek. They defended stalwartly through the first-half, mostly confining City to hopeful shots from outside the box (Foden and Bernardo Silva not getting their efforts particularly close to the target); Haaland had two good first-half efforts, one a deflected shot from the edge of the box that needed a fingertip save from stand-in keeper Jorgensen, and the other a fierce curler from 15 yards that rebounded off the inside of the post. But the pressure had been mounting, and when Reijnders nicked the lead just before half-time, you feared the floodgates might open. But they came back out looking much more positive, and created most of the better chances in the second-half: Neto was set up with a sitter by Enzo, but scooped it over the top. City's best chance came with a fast break that ended with Cherki finding Silva in the middle of the box, but Hato stole it off his toe with a great sliding challenge. It was looking as if City had managed to hang on to the 3 points, but right at the death Enzo managed to prod the ball home at the far post after a fast break down the right. Chelsea caretaker manager Calum McFarlane acted decisively to give his side a chance in the game, taking Estevao off at half-time (and making 2 further substitutions only just past the hour!): the introduction of Santos alongside James as the second pivot allowed Enzo to play further forward alongside Palmer, and that immediately transformed Chelsea's attacking play. No dodgy refereeing at all in this one - remarkable!


It's another particularly weird FPL 'Team of the Week': though it might have been even worse - in mid-gameweek it included 4 Brighton and 4 Wolves players!! In the end, we still had Ayari, Janelt, McGinn, Enzo Fernandez, and newcomer Mateus Mané dominating the list; Declan Rice was the only fairly high-owned player to gain inclusion (and he was probably left on the bench by a majority of his owners, as he was said to have missed training all week with a swollen knee).

A few selection surprises and late injury-reveals, a couple of dubious penalty calls, and some weird shenanigans with very tight offside decisions, and a whole host of improbable goals banged in from well outside the penalty area... as well as a lot of big hauls from slightly unexpected sources, while the majority of the most popular players again produced fairly little - and we saw yet again a miserably low global average of just 42 points! All of this makes it about a 7 out of 10 on the 'Luck-o-Meter' this gameweek.


Learn to 'make do'

I blame The Scout ( in particular ; there are many other sources of this psychopathy...). FPL's own anonymous 'pundit' regularl...