Showing posts with label Resources. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Resources. Show all posts

Thursday, February 5, 2026

Pick of the Transfers

A graphic with the words 'Done Deals' on a black-and-gold background, above a large green tick-mark

Now that the mid-season transfer window is finally done with,.... have there been any deals done which might be particularly exciting for FPL?


NO, probably not, really.

The only 'big name' signings, both wrapped up very early, were City's poaching of Antoine Semenyo from Bournemouth and Marc Guehi from Palace. 

Now, many naive FPL managers assume that a good player moving to a better club automatically means that he's going to become an even better prospect in FPL. Sadly, this is not always the case.

Our great dilemma now is whether these two players, who had looked like very strong picks so far with their original clubs, will continue to be worth their place in an FPL team. I'm very dubious about that. They might be OK, maybe even somewhat better than OK; but they almost certainly won't be quite as productive as they were in the first half of the season. At Palace, Guehi, as the main 'progresser' in a back-three, often enjoyed the licence to push far upfield, and sometimes even join in with the attack; and this was why he'd shown such a burgeoning propensity for picking up the occasional goal over the last year or so. With City, as part of a more conventional centre-back pair (and particularly in a team who are struggling to stay tight at the back, and struggling to maintain their title ambitions), he's probably going to be pretty locked down as the last line of defence, hence not getting many, or any, of those goalscoring opportunities any more. And I seriously doubt if City, the way they look at the moment, will keep as many clean sheets from here on as Palace did during the opening third of the season.

Likewise, Semenyo was starting to thrive on being the main man at Bournemouth: not just their most consistent and threatening creative player, but increasingly their primary source of goals too. (Last season, he'd blown a bit hot and cold, was too often ceding the limelight to Kluivert, Tavernier, Ouattara, Evanilson; at the beginning of the new term, he looked like he'd really taken a step forward to accepting the responsibility to lead the side's attacking efforts week-in, week-out.) Now, he's just a bit-part player in a team that has lots of other stars, and lots of other sources of goals. He has looked very good in his first few games for City, and is relishing having an immediate regular start. But this might be somewhat fortuitous, as his arrival coincided with an injury to Jeremy Doku. I fear it's highly likely that, when everyone's fit, Semenyo will find himself in a three-way rotation with Doku and Cherki for the two wide attacking positions (and, indeed, there's a chance that other players like Marmoush or Foden or Ait-Nouri may also occasionally claim one of those spots); he might get more than his share of those starts, and he might often produce some nice points when he does start - but you can't really be taking a chance on a player for FPL if he's not a guaranteed starter. Folks have been encouraged to think that Semenyo will be, by his bright start at the club; but it is unlikely to be so.

At the moment, these two players are maintaining a high FPL ownership largely by inertia: folks who'd owned them already at their former clubs are mostly hanging on to them, on a wait-and-see basis. Anyone who brought them into an FPL squad because of their transfers to City was making a very speculative play - and, I would venture, probably ultimately an unwise one.


Amongst the rest of the recent moves, it was the return of Pascal Gross to Brighton that most caught my eye. He's an outstanding all-round midfielder, good at anchoring the central areas, but also often dangerous in pushing forward to support the attack. I expect him to do pretty well on 'defensive points', and he might pick up a few goals too (as he did quite a lot towards the end of his previous spell at the club); he's a solid penalty-taker as well, although I doubt if he'll immediately resume that duty for them. We're a bit spoiled for choice at the moment for dependable midfield dynamos to inexpensively fill 5th - and maybe even 4th - midfield slots; but if he's still as good as he was 18 months ago, I think Gross could perhaps get himself into that conversation as well. [I suppose some would fancy that Douglas Luiz going back to Villa could have a similar impact. But I fear Luiz's original departure from the club was less amicable than Gross's, which might cause some ongoing problems in fitting back in. And, good as he is, I can't see him being able to plug all the gaps left by Kamara and Tielemans and McGinn.]

The only other new signing I fancy could have a significant impact in FPL is Stefan Ortega, who's just joined Nottingham Forest. He is an outstanding keeper, who really deserved more minutes at City. And with Forest's former preferred starters between the sticks, Matz Sels and John Victor, both currently suffering from injury problems, he will surely start immediately (although I don't think you buy someone of his quality to be a back-up option anyway - well, not unless you're Pep!). Forest have a very solid defensive unit, and are starting to toughen up again after a horrifically wobbly first half of the season; Dyche is a dour and pragmatic manager who emphasises the old-school virtues of discipline, tenacity, and workrate - so, I imagine Forest will usually be fairly robust at the back from here on. And, apart from facing Liverpool and City in quick succession around the end of this month, their run-in to the end of the season doesn't look too daunting. The problem, alas, is that Ortega - and his struggling, bottom-of-the-table side - are too 'unproven' to be appealing for the first-choice goalkeeper pick; and he's really just a bit too expensive for a back-up. He started the season at a whopping 5.0 million, which was really ridiculous for a second-string keeper, even at a top club; presumably the FPL Gnomes were anticipating that he was about to graduate to a regular start, amid the rumours of Ederson's possible imminent departure (but, of course, Pep then promptly brought in Trafford and Donnarumma, to dump poor Ortega even further down the pecking-order). His price has since fallen to 4.7 million; but you can still buy the recently impressive Kelleher and Verbruggen for less than that - so, I can't see him getting into many FPL teams. But anyone who does gamble on him,.... might get lucky.

And Oscar Bobb, of course, is hugely talented, and you fancy that he could start producing big points if he got a run of starts somewhere - could Fulham give him that chance? But he's had his injury problems, of course; and so often being left out in the cold by Pep, even when he's fit, has likely dented his confidence some. Also, it's not as if Fulham are short of creative options in the wide positions, with Wilson, Chukwueze, and the young Brazilian Kevin all looking outstanding recently. What the club really needed in this window was a young centre-forward to help Raul out (I wonder if they went in for Strand Larsen?), not yet another winger. But we shall see; if Marco Silva does entrust him with a regular start, maybe we might get some fireworks from him.


I'm also very pleased to see Angel Gomes joining Wolves on loan. His career seems to have lost steam over the last 18 months or so, as he's suffered with a series of injuries; and he now appears to have somehow fallen out of favour at Marseille. He is a fantastically smart and versatile midfielder, and was the absolute standout of Lee Carsley's brief but exciting stewardship of the England team two years ago; I really feel he ought to be able to get himself back into the selection conversation for our World Cup squad (although we'd probably need to see Anderson, Rice and Mainoo pick up injuries - heaven forbid! - for that to happen...). I imagine he's likely to be deployed more in a holding role, and thus is unlikely to produce all that many FPL points himself. But he's the kind of player who could catalyse a significant improvement in the team around him - and that might elevate one or two other Wolves players into FPL contention over the closing months of the season.

Facundo Buonanotte's loan move to Leeds is also intriguing. Unfortunately - though not at all surprisingly - he couldn't get many minutes at Chelsea in the first half of the season; but he is a fantastic creative talent, and made quite an impact with Leicester last season (and he's only just turned 21!). If he gets a regular start and finds a vein of form, he could possibly merit attention as an occasional 5th-seat pick. But I fear he might not get that many starts at Leeds either: he's more of a No. 10 than a wide attacker, and Leeds don't really play with one of those at the moment; and in the wider positions, he'll face competition from the likes of Stach, Ampadu, Aaronson, Gnonto, and James. So, I think he's one worth keeping on the radar, but not someone we should really be expecting anything of.

Jørgen Strand Larsen shifting to Palace and Tammy Abraham going to Villa might perhaps develop into possible 3rd-forward options. But neither have been in great form lately; and, if Ollie Watkins's sore hamstring isn't too much of an issue, Abraham is only likely to be getting minutes off the bench, I fancy. 

I suppose Tyrique George's loan move to Everton, where he's presumably going to fill in for the injured Grealish on the left flank, could also be interesting; though I don't really fancy anyone at that club to become particularly prolific.


But overall, no - there have been no big splashes for FPL in what was, ultimately, a relatively quiet transfer window. [Check out the Fantasy Football Scout website's full rundown of the trades.]


Thursday, August 14, 2025

EVERYTHING you always wanted to know....

A still from the early Woody Allen film, 'Everything You Always Wanted To Know About Sex (But Were Afraid To Ask)': Gene Wilder has become besotted with a sheep, and has taken it to a hotel room....
 

.... about FPL.  (But were afraid to ask??!!)

I've been quite busy over the past couple of weeks compiling content that - I hope - might be helpful in selecting a first Fantasy Premier League squad for the new season, about to commence tomorrow.



Here's a list of links to all the resources I've so far assembled (including a handful of key 'How to....' posts from earlier in the blog's history):


How to choose the INITIAL SQUAD

A fairly comprehensive guide to all the principles you need to keep in mind for squad building.


And a checklist you could run over that squad afterwards: How should you judge if your squad is any GOOD?


Possible Picks [Pt. 1]

My roundup of the most promising options this year among the goalkeepers and defenders.

Possible Picks [Pt. 2]

The companion piece on the most tempting possibilities in the midfielder and forward categories.


A few HINTS & TIPS

A helpful catalogue to my 'In a Nutshell...' series: a collection of 'shorter' posts on key points about the game of FPL that I've learned over the past several years.



And.... This year's EARLY 'Sheep Picks'

A warning against some of the most popular picks among the premature drafters - tempting selections that might be better avoided...


The shape of things to come...?

A heads-up on some of the less expected changes we need to watch out for in the new season!


The ONES you should be watching...

Some recommendations for the tactical analysts (NOT 'FPL experts'!!) I find most helpful in improving my understanding of the game.



From longer ago....

Pounds EQUAL Points

An explanation of how BUDGET works (amazingly, very few people seem to properly grasp this!).


Goal setting

Some thoughts on the kind of 'targets' you can set for yourself to gauge your FPL performance. (Subsequently revisited, and somewhat expanded, in this post.)

And a brief rundown on typical 'levels of achievement':  What counts as A GOOD SCORE?

A couple of key early posts: Why people are BAD at FPL...  and  How to get better...

A warning about all the ways that LUCK can impact your FPL outcomes: What's LUCK got to do with it?


And finally...  my ultimate guide to how to get better at the game:

Are you a good FPL manager?



BEST OF LUCK FOR THE SEASON AHEAD!


Monday, July 28, 2025

What can we DO....

A photograph of taken from a shady beach bar, looking out over a white sand beach and a blue ocean; a cold bottle of beer and a book lie wating on the table in the foreground - does life get any better?

... to prepare for the new FPL season??


Well, the best advice is really..... to do NOTHING.

I, for one, will be spending at least the next two weeks or so enjoying a beach view, a cold beer, and a good book. (Figuratively, at least! The scene above was reality for me a couple of months back; but now I just have to rely on my imagination.)

 

I wouldn't pay any attention to the constant swirl of transfer 'news'. So much of it is unfounded speculation, wishful thinking.... It's only likely to frustrate you. And confuse you as to who's playing for which club next season!

And I certainly wouldn't waste any time 'drafting' possible squads. Too much can and will change before the Big Kick-Off: transfers, injuries, players falling out with their managers, surprising new formations/tactics/team selections emerging in the last of the warm-up games....  We just don't have a complete picture of the selection landscape yet; and we won't until Friday the 15th of August. Making 'preliminary' selections now is way premature: it only clouds your thinking and locks you into poor decisions. It is a very bad idea, harmful to your eventual squad selection.


All you can reasonably do to start getting ready for the new season is:

Check out the League fixtures (and FPL's preliminary - probably not very helpful! - estimation of their relative 'difficulty').

Make a mental note of the FA Cup and League Cup schedules too (this lets you know where the Blank and Double Gameweeks are set to occur later in the season).  And perhaps take a gander at the schedule for the European competitions (though this UEFA official page is a bit of a mess; there's probably an easier-to-read resource out there somewhere; the Sky Sports summary of the Champion League situation, for example).

Also, note the dates of the international breaks this season, and of the African Cup of Nations, which will take a lot of players away from the Premier League in December/January.

And while I warned just above against obssessively following transfer 'news', I think it's OK to check in occasionally on the emerging landscape of confirmed transfers. I find Fantasy Football Scout's Transfer Updates page the best resource for this.


Be aware of the unfolding schedule of pre-season friendly matches - and try to watch as many as you can (at least, those involving the teams you're most interested in).

And although there's such a gulf in class these days between the Championship and the top flight that the performance of the newly promoted sides last season is of little or no relevance to how they might get along this year,.... well, those teams do generally offer up one or two handy budget options for FPL (especially early in the season, when your squad finances are very tight!), so it might be worth doing a bit of research on them, digging out highlights of some of their games on Youtube.


But that's it - that's all you can usefully do at this stage,.... all you should do.  NO 'drafting'!!

Take it easy for another couple of weeks!!


A LONG 'vacation'

  Good gracious, what is this ?? Thanks to the odd scheduling quirk that we have an international break this week, followed by the Quarter-F...