Dilemmas of the Week - GW 32 (25/26)

After nearly three weeks without any Premier League games (four weeks, for Arsenal, Manchester City, Crystal Palace and Wolves!), anticipating relative 'form' is going to be even more of a crapshoot than usual going into this Gameweek. But at least there haven't been too many new injuries since GW31,... and quite a few welcome recoveries.

Despite the relative dearth of new injury concerns, this is a prime moment to consider major changes leading into the league campaign's final run-in - and, in particular, to gear up for the imminent Double Gameweek in GW33 and the subsequent Blank Gameweek (because of the FA Cup Semi-Finals) in GW34. Indeed, if exceptional need - or foolish impatience - haven't prompted you to use the (largely superfluous) 2nd Wildcard yet, this is inevitably the optimal gameweek in which to do so. (And very nearly 500,000 managers have indeed done so. But that does beg the question,..... what the heck are the other 12 million up to???)

I am trying to streamline these weekly round-ups a bit from last year, restricting myself for the most part to just the injuries etc. affecting players that are likely to have a major significance in FPL; and also, of course, only to new injuries - I figure everyone should be aware of players who've already been ruled out for some time!  

[For some years, I have found the 'Injuries & Bans' summary on Fantasy Football Scout the most reliable resource for this kind of information; although this site, Premier League Injuries, is a very good alternative (often a little quicker to update, I think - though it did go through a bit of a glitchy period for a while last year).  Go check these out for more comprehensive coverage. 

I see the Fantasy Premier League site has added an improved 'Player Availability' page this year (though hidden under 'The Scout' tab?!). That also seems to be reasonably comprehensive and up-to-date, but god knows how it's supposed to be 'organised' - maybe by 'date of injury'? Obviously, arranging it by club and alphabetical order would be more sensible; but the denizens of FPL Towers seem to have a deep aversion to the sensible.]

I've recently discovered this additional resource, the weekly Predicted Lineups from Fantasy Football Edits. My longtime standby for this sort of news, Fantasy Footall Scout, does usually provide some explanatory commentary on its predictions, even including reminders of the key injury concerns, and sometimes also some discussion of possible alternate selections; so, if you like a bit more detail with your 'probable lineups' for the week, that could still be the preferable roundup to look at. But because FPL Edits is so stripped-down, it's rather more straightforwardly accessible, easier to scan through quickly; and I think it's also perhaps a tad more reliable with its expected formations and lineups, and a little quicker to update.

So, what are the conundrums we face ahead of Gameweek 32?

Does anybody need to be moved out because of injury?

Unwelcome uncertainties for Arsenal on their title run-in, as the recently impressive Piero Hincapie has apparently picked up quite a serious leg-muscle issue while playing for Ecuador, while Bukayo Saka, who was withdrawn from availability for the internationals for unspecified reasons (which were widely assumed to be exaggerated or entirely fake), is apparently still unfit to rejoin the playing squad. Moreover, Jurrien Timber, who suffered a heavy knock on the ankle against Everton in their last league game (four weeks ago!) is still a doubt, and Martin Odegaard - who has been almost constantly troubled by injury this season - had a fairly lacklustre game against Sporting in midweek and appeared to be limping when he was pulled off before the end. And now Riccardo Calafiori is also a doubt, after suddenly going missing from training on Friday. At least Ebere Eze appears to be over whatever phantom niggle was keeping him home from international duty....

Jadon Sancho suffered a heavy fall in a club friendly two weeks ago, and has a damaged shoulder which may continue to make him a doubt for a little while (although he's never really established himself as a regular starting prospect for Unai Emery).

Burnley's Hannibal Mejbri is going to be out for a while, after pulling a hamstring against Fulham last time out.

Palace winger Evann Guessand suffered a knee injury in Thursday night's game against Fiorentina, the severity still being assessed.

Leeds are suffering a tide of injuries in their back-line at a very inopportune moment: both Joe Rodon and Anton Stach had to come off in the FA Cup win over West Ham, after rolling their ankles badly. while Jaka Bijol (training knock) and Gabriel Gudmundsson (minor groin strain) were unavailable for that game, and might still be doubts this weekend.

Alisson was a late withdrawal from Liverpool's last league game, the defeat against Brighton, after suffering another leg-muscle issue - which now seems likely to keep him out until 'near the end of the season'. At least his new understudy Giorgi Mamardashvili was looking pretty sharp in Wednesday's game against PSG - but looking their talismanic long-time goalkeeper is further unwelcome disruption at a time when the club are starting to look in serious disarray.

Ruben Dias missed out on the League Cup Final three weeks ago because of a hamstring issue, and has since suffered a further setback which probably makes his return date still at least a week or two off (although you wonder if Abdudokir Khusanov hasn't been playing well enough to keep him out of the team now....). And John Stones withdrew from the England squad with a sore calf-muscle (although - who can remember the last time he was fit for a decent run of games??).

Sven Botman suffered a facial fracture in the north-east derby three weeks ago, but recent reports say that he is being fitted with a protective mask and that there is a chance he can be considered for selection against Palace (presumably at the expense of Malick Thiaw, who has had a few struggles in recent games). Fabian Schar was thought to be close to a return from his serious ankle injury three months ago, but has apparently suffered from an infection in the foot which may keep him out for some more weeks. Even more worryingly for Newcastle, Bruno Guimaraes was just about ready to return from his hamstring layoff, but went down with the mumps last week - which can be a particularly debilitating virus, one that can have a lingering impact on physical fitness for several weeks afterwards; so, I'd be betting that we won't now see Bruno again until the end of the season, if at all.

Just to make things even worse for Spurs, it's been announced that Mohammed Kudus has suffered a serious setback in his rehabilitation from a hamstring injury and may now require surgery (although, when things get as bad as this at a club, you can't help but wonder if some players are exaggerating injuries to just avoid being involved in the ongoing shitstorm any more....). Mathys Tel had to come off with a knock in the last league game against Forest, and Pape Sarr picked up a shoulder injury while playing for Senegal, while first-choice keeper Guglielmo Vicario had to have surgery on a groin hernia at the start of the break and is likely to be missing for at least another week or so. On the bright side, at least the club's first-choice back-four appears to be available again.... for practically the first time this season.

Do we have any players who are dropped, or not looking likely to get the starts we hoped for?

Harry Maguire is suspended this week, after getting sent off for a 'denial of a goalscoring opportunity' against Bournemouth last time. Meanwhile, Brighton's Lewis Dunk and Wolves's Yerson Mosquera are starting a two-match ban for having reached the threshold of 10 yellow cards for the season. 

After this weekend, we have an amnesty on suspensions for accumulated yellow cards till the end of the season. These are the players who stand on the precipice: unsurprisingly, it is mostly the defensive midfielders who've got themselves into jeopardy with their 'taking one for the team' fouls - Caicedo, Casemiro, Bernardo Silva, Joelinton, and Wolves's Andre and Joao Gomes, as well as Bournemouth full-back Alex Jimenez and Brighton winger Diego Gomez are all just one more card away from a 2-game ban, and so will have to tread very carefully this weekend; they might indeed be 'rested' to keep them out of harm's way.

Enzo Fernandez has been suspended by Chelsea for this gameweek (and for last week's FA Cup tie against Port Vale) for imprudently mentioning his eagerness to live - and play? - in Madrid during an interview he gave over the international break. Sounds like storm-in-a-teacup stuff, and I wouldn't expect it to impact his selection or performance for the remainder of the season (unless Real or Atleti have already made approaches about buying him this summer....?).

Did anyone give other cause to consider dropping them?

I'm not betting on a De Zerbi Miracle at Spurs just yet. Neither is anyone else, it seems: the North London club are now the favourites to join Wolves and Burnley in the drop, with some bookmakers trimming the odds on them going down to as little as 13/10.

Recently, Liverpool are starting to look very nearly as toxic, and it's now looking very much as if - without a dramatic turnaround in the league (I think we can write off the chances of a comeback against PSG in the Champions League) - Arne Slot will be sacked at the end of the season.

Did anyone play so well, you have to consider bringing them in immediately?

Three weeks after the last batch of games, 'form' back then is scarcely relevant. Although.... Harry Wilson had another absolute banger there, and it is astonishing that fewer than 25% of FPL managers owned him then. (That might be a strong indication of how many people remain 'active' within the game!)

BEST OF LUCK, EVERYONE!