Tuesday, March 10, 2026

A 'successful' FPL team is only a window to the past, not the future

An old black-and-white photograph of a late 1800s schoolboy football team
 

A lot of desperate FPL managers seek inspiration from checking out the teams of their mini-league rivals or the current global frontrunners, etc..... and copying them.


That is, of course, CHEATING; and is to be discouraged on moral grounds alone.


But also.... it rarely does much good. As I just pointed out the other week, just about no team is ever 'perfect' anyway; however well we're currently doing, thare are almost inevitably always a few irksome weak spots in our teams that we just don't have enough transfers to deal with.

However, even a team which looks in really good shape, and is enjoying 'success' currently - high rank position, excellent returns in recent weeks - is merely a team which has done well up to now. There is no guarantee that it will continue to do similarly well from here on....

Some players in that prosperous team you examine so enviously have probably been going off the boil in the past few games - or are just about to. New hot streaks of irresistible form may be just emerging, or just about to emerge, in other players. There is no essential reason why a team that did exceptionally well in the last gameweek - or over the last month, or over the season as a whole so far - should do better than any other team in the coming gameweek. (And indeed, this season we seem to have been seeing even more extreme swings of fortune than usual, with good teams having an outstanding return in one gameweek only to collapse to a horrendous result in the next.)


Just COPYING someone else's selections is never a good thing. If you are going to look at other people's teams, at the currently 'most successful' teams, try to analyse why they've done well, why they've done better than you so far. Then - try to assess how well they're likely to do over the next few gameweeks; and see if you can think of how these teams might be improved.

What you should be trying to do is not simply mimic the selections a successful FPL manager has already made, but to anticipate what picks they might make next.



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A 'successful' FPL team is only a window to the past, not the future

  A lot of desperate FPL managers seek inspiration from checking out the teams of their mini-league rivals or the current global frontrunne...